Texas A&M
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
6  Henry Lelei SR 30:43
105  James Hodges SR 31:54
196  Stephen Curry SR 32:13
305  Isaac Spencer SO 32:29
513  C.J. Brown SR 32:57
578  Micah Dettmer SR 33:04
818  Colin Slattery JR 33:29
1,073  MacLean O'Donnell SR 33:53
1,238  Jake Roberts SO 34:06
1,304  Jake Hervey SO 34:12
1,612  Dylan Williams JR 34:37
1,646  Bobby Zeller SO 34:41
National Rank #27 of 311
South Central Region Rank #3 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 71.3%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 14.0%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Henry Lelei James Hodges Stephen Curry Isaac Spencer C.J. Brown Micah Dettmer Colin Slattery MacLean O'Donnell Jake Roberts Jake Hervey Dylan Williams
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 651 31:11 31:56 32:20 32:22 32:56 33:33 33:24 34:14 34:07
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 600 31:01 31:56 32:07 32:44 32:29 32:36 34:01
Houston Baptist Invitational 10/12 33:54 33:52 35:50
SEC Championships 10/26 634 31:04 32:09 32:18 32:16 32:44 33:30 33:23 33:54 34:24
South Central Region Championships 11/09 619 30:35 31:46 32:11 32:38 35:00 33:10 34:19
NCAA Championship 11/17 30:24 31:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 71.3% 24.4 559 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.7 2.5 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.8 5.1 5.8 6.5 6.4 6.6 5.9 5.5 3.5
Region Championship 100% 3.1 90 0.2 4.7 79.2 15.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Henry Lelei 100% 7.2 0.2 1.3 6.4 13.4 11.8 8.8 7.2 5.8 5.5 3.8 4.0 2.9 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7
James Hodges 82.7% 98.4 0.0 0.0
Stephen Curry 73.0% 147.0
Isaac Spencer 71.4% 185.1
C.J. Brown 71.5% 231.8
Micah Dettmer 71.4% 237.4
Colin Slattery 71.6% 248.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Henry Lelei 1.0 52.4 23.6 8.7 5.4 3.2 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
James Hodges 11.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 2.1 4.2 7.1 9.4 10.5 10.8 9.1 7.2 6.1 5.4 4.6 3.9 3.1 2.8 2.1 2.0 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9
Stephen Curry 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.2 4.0 5.3 6.5 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.5 5.9 5.2 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.5
Isaac Spencer 22.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.6 4.6 5.0 5.6 6.7 6.9 6.4 6.6 5.6 5.1 4.3
C.J. Brown 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.7 3.5
Micah Dettmer 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4
Colin Slattery 50.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 4.7% 100.0% 4.7 4.7 2
3 79.2% 74.5% 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.9 8.4 12.9 12.2 16.0 20.2 59.0 3
4 15.9% 47.4% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.7 8.4 7.5 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 71.3% 0.2 4.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 5.3 9.2 14.4 14.1 18.7 28.7 4.8 66.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 2.0 0.4
Florida 12.5% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 2.0 0.1
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 2.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Navy 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 3.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0